Weekly Market Commentary
Wall Street Surges on US-China Tariff Truce
Posted on May 23, 2025
Wall Street Surges on US-China Tariff Truce
The market surged higher last week on geopolitical optimism. The week began with the news over the weekend that the US and China had reached a significant truce in the trade war. The primary takeaway is that the US will reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports to 30%, down from 145% at the peak, and China will reduce their tariffs on US Imports to 10%, down from 125%, for the next 90 days.
The impact of these headlines was swift as it sent the S&P 500 3.26% higher to start the week. Every day that followed last week saw additional positive closes for the blue-chip index. This culminated in over 5 percentage points of growth last week. Last week’s gains were enough to rally the markets back to break even and into positive territory year to date.
The gains had an outsized impact on Large Cap Growth which effectively mirrored the gains seen in the Nasdaq. The gains were fairly consistent across the style boxes with only a bit of a laggard performance in Large Cap Value.

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As has been the case a lot recently, when there has been significant positive performance in the S&P 500, the usual sectors of Communications, Consumer Discretionary and Information Technology brought the greatest gains. Even still, every one of the 11 sectors closed higher for the week.
In economic news, the Consumer Price Index came in last week with a 0.2% increase month over month, culminating in a 2.3% year-over-year increase. Meanwhile, the Producer Price Index fell by 0.5% resulting in a 2.4% year-over-year increase. Both of these inflation gauges were mostly in line with expectations and highlight an economy coming back in the range that the FOMC has been targeting.
Finally, Treasuries climbed slightly higher last week. This provided mixed results in the greater bond market. However, the bellwether Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond index fell by 19 basis points last week.
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The S&P 500® Index is a capitalization index of 500 stock-designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of stock representing all major industries. https://us.spindices.com/indices/equity/sp-500 The Dow Jones Industrial Average® (The Dow®), is a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. blue-chip companies. The index covers all industries except transportation and utilities. https://us.spindices.com/indices/equity/dow-jones-industrial-average The NASDAQ Composite Index measures all NASDAQ domestic and international based common type stocks listed on The NASDAQ Stock Market. Today the NASDAQ Composite includes over 2,500 companies, more than most other stock market indexes. Because it is so broad-based, the Composite is one of the most widely followed and quoted major market indexes. https://indexes.nasdaqomx.com/Index/Overview/COMP The MSCI World Index, which is part of The Modern Index Strategy, is a broad global equity benchmark that represents large and mid-cap equity performance across 23 developed markets countries. It covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country and MSCI World benchmark does not offer exposure to emerging markets. The MSCI Emerging Markets (EM) Index is designed to represent the performance of large- and mid-cap securities in 24 Emerging Markets countries of the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia. As of December 2017, it had more than 830 constituents and covered approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country. https://www.msci.com/ The S&P GSCI Crude Oil index provides investors with a reliable and publicly available benchmark for investment performance in the crude oil market. https://us.spindices.com/indices Companies in the S&P 500 Sector Indices are classified based on the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®). https://us.spindices.com/indices |